Special thanks to Churnest Hemingway for today’s guest insightful guest post. Watch soon for his upcoming novel, The Old Man and the Fee.

When communicating with groups in person or online, one of the most important questions you can ask yourself is “Who’s in the room?” Knowing your audience and understanding their agenda (tip: it’s different than yours) should shape what you’re saying, and validate why you’re saying it at all.

This advice is also very relevant for communication about churning. Whether discussing a card benefit loophole or a foundational tool for manufactured spending, you should always stop to consider who is in the room before starting a conversation – lest you also start the death clock on the very play you’re hoping to discuss. We have seen this lack of discretion contribute to the demise of many joyful things in recent years, sometimes in conjunction with quantitative signals, sometimes not.

If you’re posting to reddit, commenting on a blog or video, or publishing content yourself, you can be confident that the marketing departments of major credit card issuers are reading what you’re putting out there. Marketers report up to other departments on product usage trends and the voice of their customer. If the voice of their customer is yapping about a loophole its not supposed to have, a feature its not using as intended, or anything else of benefit beyond what is advertised, you can be certain those goodies will be killed by product leadership sooner or later.

Similarly, when chatting or on the phone with your friendly customer service rep, you should be aware that everything you say is being logged and analyzed in dashboards, meetings, and meetings about dashboards. Just as with marketing departments, surges in specific topics or questions stick out on the radar like a sore thumb. Badgering a bank employee about a key account feature that was retired will not magically turn that feature back on. Over a hundred of these calls will raise the question of why this feature is suddenly in demand, and prompt further investigation of customers who still have skin in the game.

Sharing away from the corporate eye does not guarantee privacy, either. Smaller online communities have their own share of participants who repost tips and plays without adequately gut-checking what it means for the survival of what they’re sharing. Some of these are from well-meaning churners excited to share knowledge with their peers and build community. Less forgivably, lurking influencers capitalize on community content by monetizing it for ad-supported blogs and paid courses. This latter demographic is a scourge and the reason you should know the agenda of your peers.

Finally, a common thread between all three audiences is the new variable of AI analysis. Every reddit post, chat or call log, or private community message is now subject to any number of agents ingesting, synthesizing, and summarizing its content ad infinitum. Despite bank technology having a reputation for being old and brittle, it is simple enough to batch export data and analyze it with another application. Many churners also use these tools, undisclosed, in private communities to manage the firehose of information coming at them on a daily basis. Even if you’ve forgotten what you once posted way up in the scrollback, or are past the 90 day window of your visible Slack content, don’t worry – AI remembers, and will always remember. The act of listening has now been delegated to a technology that never sleeps. Proceed with caution.

A footnote: “X has already been shared by popularwebsite, so it doesn’t matter if I share it again” is not a good excuse for indiscretion. Visibility on a play doesn’t come from one leak, but repeated signals indicating its heat and significance. Even if a play has been shared that cannot be unshared, abstaining from a repeat broadcast is good practice for extending its lifespan and diminishing its significance to those who would treat it indelicately – or those who have the power to see it killed.

So, what should we do when we don’t know who to trust? Build trust. Know who’s in the room by getting in the actual room. Get on calls, show up at meetups, and build churning relationships that turn into churning friendships. Gracefully retract and delete overshares when other churners let you know you’ve gone too far, and give a polite nudge when you see someone else spill too much (escalate as necessary). Despite only knowing each other by first names at best, the amount of trust in our hobby is uniquely special, and the only thing that keeps it together.

– Churnist Hemingway

Pictured: AmEx RAT infiltrating a churning mixer.

I’ve split today’s post up into (1) interesting items, and (2) other, I guess?

  1. Kroger stores have 4x fuel points on third party gift cards other than Amazon and flexible fuel cards, and on fixed value Visa and Mastercard gift cards. Both promotions are running through Tuesday, April 7.

    For reasons no one has been able to discern, fuel points are worth quite a bit more than normal right now.
  2. The American Express Graphite charge card has been released, and American Express’s random number generator for the sign-up bonus is in full swing:

    – $1,500 (or $2,000) sign-up bonus after $50,000 spend in six months
    – $295 annual fee
    – 2% cash back everywhere, (except 5% on AmEx Travel flights and hotels)
    – Cash back is not convertible to Membership Rewards

    If you don’t see the heightened bonus, try VPNs, incognito browsers, mobile, letting the application timeout and reload, or summoning SideShowBob233. This card replaces the infamous Plum card, also a charge card.
  3. Two Incomm gift card sites have fee-free gift cards:

    VanillaGift.com: No purchase fees on Visas with code VGEASTER26
    MasterCardGiftCard.com: No purchase fees on Mastercards with code EASTER26

    Clearly this is because of the lack of oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz.
  4. Delta has an award sale to its Asian destinations, but especially Taiwan and Hong Kong, running through today. Economy flights are 30,000-50,000 miles round trip, and in theory there are sale Delta One fares but they’re not exactly widely available so I wasn’t able to verify pricing.

And:

  1. American Express Business Gold and Business Platinum cards will soon have an annual $300 ChatGPT credit. Before you get excited, they’re likely for the two user $600 annual ChatGPT business plan.
  2. Cathay Pacific is devaluing long-haul business class redemptions by 3%-5%.
  3. JetBlue is reportedly shopping around for buyers, despite assuring everyone they weren’t last week. Since United CEO Scott Kirby said just last week that United wasn’t interested in buying JetBlue at all, there’s a good chance that United is currently in advanced discussions with JetBlue (or maybe I’m just cynical about Kirby).
  4. Bilt added Wyndham as a 1:1 transfer partner. In a sea of bad ideas in travel hacking, transferring more than a de minimus number of Bilt points to Wyndham is a shark sized bad-idea.

Happy Thursday friends!

More shark-sized bad ideas.

I’m an optimizer; frankly, I think most of us are or we wouldn’t be doing this on a day to day basis so I guess misery loves company, right? We’re all rather adept at optimizing credit card category spend multipliers, payment windows, new application timing, and new account bonuses.

Optimizations aren’t perfect though and it’s easy to get stuck in local minima. I regularly see newbies and experienced churners alike make an optimization mistake with their time: spending minutes or even hours chasing a deal that’s not worth very much. An extremely successful salesman once gave me some simple advice:

It takes about the same amount of time to do a small deal as it does to do a big deal.

The obvious lesson is to spend your time on bigger things instead of on smaller things. An alternative way to think about this is to consider the minimum you need to make for different manufactured spend and travel hacking opportunities, and don’t bother with the ones that don’t have a big enough return on time. To that end, I’d suggest having a mental set minimums, much like pilots have a set of weather minimums. In case you’re a visual learner, here’s a sample table that you can fill in for “fun”. For extra “fun”, compare with your neighbor:

ActivityMinimum Profit Needed ($)
Leaving home for in-person manufactured spend
Manufacturing spend at home (something quick)
Manufacturing spend at home (something less quick)
Calling customer service for a retention offer
Tracking a card linked offer over couple of months
Social engineering a customer service rep
Trying to find a spot in Costco’s parking lot

Happy Wednesday!

There’s a spot right there, see?

EDITOR’S NOTE: Sorry, I tried really hard to avoid making a joke about a bleak future in the title, but some things can’t be helped.

  1. The now-quaintly-named AA eShopping portal has:

    2.5x earning on giftcards.com as of this writing
    500 bonus miles on $100+ spend through Sunday

    The former is great for earning status, but be aware that too many cancels from GiftCards.com when shopping through the AA portal can get your AAdvantage account permanently closed (also known as with great power comes great responsibility, or something).
  2. The Future Debit card is changing their banking partner, and your cards and bank account will be closed on April 23. Redeeming Future rewards isn’t currently working but in theory they’ll auto-credit tomorrow.

    I’m not here to tell you what to do, but I’m happy to tell you that I transferred everything out of Future for now. You do you.
  3. Southwest has 40% off of base fares with promo code BUZZER for travel booked by Thursday and flown between April 13 and June 11. Oh, did I hear you like blackout dates? Don’t worry, Southwest has you covered around major holidays and every single Sunday just to be annoying.

Happy Tuesday!

Southwest cuts pizza like this to be annoying too.

  1. Citi ThankYou Points has two transfer bonuses through April 18:

    – Virgin Atlantic: 30%, or 1:1.3
    – Avianca LifeMiles: 25%, or 1:1.25

    They’re also devaluing two of their hotel transfer partners:

    – Choice: -25%, or dropping to 1:1.5
    – iPrefer: -50%, or dropping to 1:2

    Both programs offered outsized value for the ThankYou Program.
  2. Office Depot / OfficeMax stores have $15 off of $300+ in Visa gift cards through Saturday. For best results:

    – Buy in even multiples of $300
    – Look for the lower fee “Everywhere” cards if you know how to redeem them
    – Try for multiple transactions back-to-back

    These are Pathward / BlackHawk Network gift cards.
  3. Target in store and online has a bonus $10 Target gift card with $100+ in One4All gift cards. Using a RedCard drops the total cost down to $95.50 for both.
  4. Safeway, Albertsons, Vons, and other Just4U stores have 10x points on Lowe’s gift cards (or 12x points on Saturday).
  5. Chase Offers has short-term offers on Hyatt spend:

    – 15% back at Park Hyatt on up to $467 in spend
    – 15% back at Hyatt Unbound, up to $467 spend

    Both are valid through March 31.
  6. Discover has a targeted offer for 15% off of Apple gift card redemptions. With Apple gift card sale rates at around 92%, that gives you a cash out of about 1.08 cents per point, which *checks notes*, is better than the usual redemption of 1.00 cents per point.

Happy Monday!

More Monday math tips.

The MMS Backstory

In the early days of churning, there was a popular blog named Million Mile Secrets. It’s long gone now, at least inasmuch as it’s been effectively inactive since 2021 (and it was effectively useless years before that). There was a time, however, that the blog was great for newbies and also for bringing new voices into the community every week. At some point though it morphed into a churning reality TV show turned credit card article, and then just abruptly stopped. (Curious about the reality TV aspect? I guess google MMS Darius Emily or wait for the Netflix mini-series.)

It’s an interesting case study because from the site’s early days until it’s implosion, it went from having a codified rule saying they’d always present the best offer available card whether or not it paid them (they called it the mother-in-law rule and later mostly scrubbed that from the internet until only vestiges remained), and ended up as the kind of site that had 27 links to an affiliate Chase Sapphire Preferred link, all of which were worse than the publicly available bonus. Basically the site’s progression evolved like:

  1. Always show the best offer
  2. Hold off on posting about a best offer until an affiliate link comes in
  3. Show an affiliate link, but note in small print that there’s a better offer elsewhere
  4. Only show affiliate links, but tag some of them as best offer
  5. Channel Olivia Rodrigo, and decide to push whatever earns the most commission

Why bring this up now?

The IHG Business 200,000 Point Offer

On Monday night, the Chase IHG Business card released a highest ever 200,000 point sign-up bonus. Cool I guess, right? Yes, but that’s not the point. The point is that basically every big blog out there didn’t write about it until yesterday, even some of the “good ones”. Why did they wait until yesterday? I’ll give you a hint, it starts with an “a” and ends with “ffiliate link”. In other words, they’re on step (2) of the MMS playbook.

Now do I think the “good ones” are headed for step (3)? Generally speaking, no I don’t. But I do think you should know the motivations of the content you’re consuming, and you should know exactly how much your favorite affiliate blog is willing to withhold about a deal until they can be paid for it. But don’t take my word for it, it’s easy to go look around and see when your favorite sources wrote about the offer. For bonus points, check and see if they told you that the offer’s available via referral from P2 or another churner, or whether that’s a causal omission.

Have a nice weekend friends!

Friday afternoon preview.

Alexander Graham Bell apparently invented the phrase “When one door closes another door opens…” which I assume is the only reason anyone’s heard of him.

Well, yesterday a big churning door closed which rendered some back buttons useless, and I’m not sure another door opened despite Mr. Bell’s admonitions to the contrary. You’re not out of luck though, the hallway has multiple doors, so maybe just take a few other probing steps and see what other doors lurk in the hallway.

General cryptic MEAB disclaimer: If you have no idea what I’m talking about, don’t stress, it likely doesn’t affect you.

Happy Thursday!

Next time: Reciting the floosie’s business plans.

  1. The Synchrony Virgin Red Mastercard has an offer for an increased sign-up bonus of 75,000 Virgin points and a $100 statement credit during a ticket booking flow. You don’t have to checkout to see the offer.

    Virgin Red points are ok, but the Synchrony card is more than just Virgin Red points. (Thanks to DDG)
  2. Meijer stores have 7,500 mPerks points with the purchase of $100+ in Visa gift cards through Tuesday, limit one per account. Obviously scale with multiple accounts.
  3. The Chase Sapphire Reserve Business’s travel portal has implemented price matching for hotel rooms including Edit properties. The terms require that you submit a claim within 24 hours of booking and the stay must be more than a day away, oh and that the price difference has to be at least $5.

    Chase Points Boost is a mixed bag at best, but the mix just got better. On the other hand, Edit hotels haven’t been so fortunate.
  4. The Kudos Shopping Portal quietly added a $2.99 fee to cash out your rewards via PayPal. Don’t worry, they’ll waive the fee if you pay them $12 per month though 🙄.
  5. PayPal Offers has 1% back at Giftcards.com on up to $2,000 spend when paying with PayPal through March 31. This stacks with other portal bonuses, however science has yet to discover exactly what Giftcards.com sells.

I guess it’s time for us to go do Wednesday now.

Next up: Learn how to price match garlic bread for savings of $0.01, and that’s per loaf.