1. The American Express Marriott Bonvoy personal cards have increased sign-up bonuses through May 14, available head-on, or via referral (and if you know anyone with a referral, please use theirs instead of applying head-on):

    – Brilliant: 185,000 Bonvoy points after $6,000 spend in six months, $650 annual fee
    – Bevy: 155,000 Bonvoy points after $5,000 spend in six months, $250 annual fee

    A couple of notes: (1) I prefer points offers like these to certificate offers, and (2) if you’re going to get a personal Bonvoy card, the Chase one at least has an upgrade path to the Ritz card.
  2. All Kroger brands now have a digital coupon for no purchase fees on $150+ in Visa or Mastercard variable load cards just like Harris Teeter through Tuesday, limit one per account.

    If only it were possible to have multiple Kroger accounts, but alas, science hasn’t figured that one out yet.
  3. The US Bank Smartly card is reportedly no longer available for new applications in branch, and rumored to unavailable for applications online in the next month.

    Assuming that’s true, now’s the time for this card if you want it.
  4. Kroger stores have a 4x fuel points sale today only on all third party gift cards that don’t start with an ‘A’ and end with ‘mazon’. Pepper continues to murder the gift card resale market for all of the major brands it sells, so that means this promotion is basically useful for Apple and Lululemon only. (update: dead)

    Don’t worry, one day the gift card resale market will stabilize.

The multiple Kroger account science room clock.

  1. Yesterday’s post mentioned in fake-shakespeare obtuseness that Rapid Rewards points value shifts based on demand; based on questions and comments I got yesterday, that wasn’t clear to many. To speak in ye-new-modern-day-English: Southwest Rapid Rewards points will no longer have a fixed redemption value for each class of ticket, but rather the redemption value will vary based on demand.

    In other words, Rapid Rewards which already had dynamic pricing based on ticket value, will now have a dynamic redemption value per point too. To quote the quiet grandmaster churner RabbMD, “double secret dynamic” pricing.
  2. Harris Teeter stores have a coupon for fee-free variable load Mastercard and Visa gift cards when loaded with $150+ through Tuesday, limit one per Kroger account. (Thanks to GCA)
  3. Rakuten’s In-Store card linked program has offers for several grocery stores:

    – 1% or 1x at Giant
    – 1% or 1x at Giant Food (different than the above, duh)
    – 1% or 1x at Martins
    – 1% or 1x at Food Lion

    These are valid for 75 days after clipping the coupon. But after first use, the coupon is only valid for another hour, at which point you can reclip it as long as the promotion is still going. Why so complex? Well, remember that Rakuten is the company that bought Buy.com for $250 Million and decided that Buy.com was too hard for Americans to pronounce and remember, so just migrated it to Rakuten.com.
  4. Some discount airlines, sorted in order of recent annoyingness, are running promotions:

    – Breeze 50% off: Book by today, fly between March 18 and June 18 with promo GROW
    – Frontier award sale: Book by Monday, fly through August 18
    – Alaska international sale*: Book by April 11, fly through July 31
    – [this space left intentionally blank]
    – [this space left intentionally blank]
    – Southwest sale: Book by today, fly between April 1 and June 11

    *The Alaska sale includes Premium Economy, which is weird because Alaska doesn’t really support partner Premium Economy bookings for the partners you need to get to these destinations. #AlaskaGonnaAlaska
  5. The Wyndham shopping portal has a bonus of 2,000 points after a single purchase through April 9. (Thanks to FM)

Don’t blame Rakuten, after all, Rasputin was once named Bryce right? (Don’t check)

You’ve no doubt heard that Southwest announced they’d be moving from a mediocre product offering to a bad product offering yesterday because literally every news outlet, blog, skywriter, and mommy stroller affiliate site wrote about it. I tried to ignore it here, but instead decided to write a quick summary in iambic pentameter to keep it fresh:

On fares most cheap, a fee doth now descend,
for Wanna Get Away, a basic name doth lend.

Flight credits, once free, now swiftly fade,
yet open boarding’s chaos still we’ve made.

Elites and cardholders find some gentle aid,
yet still, no first class seats or distant shores are displayed.

Midway’s woes persist, a traveler’s plight,
even Spirit offers more comfort in its Big Front Seat’s light.

Rapid Rewards points now face variable fate,
their value shifting with each flight’s demand and date.

Sorry, even I feel dirty after that one.

When non-travel sites cover travel stories:
Do they mean that (a) Southwest will charge the bag’s battery, or (b) that they expect the bag to pay?

  1. American Express has a newly targeted offer for 20,000 Membership Rewards for turning on Pay Over Time. You’ve got two shots:

    – Check the generic landing page for an offer on every charge card
    – Check this specific link for an offer on every charge card

    Make sure you set a reminder to turn off Pay Over Time in 121 days, and if you get the bonus offer on multiple charge cards, consider activating them in separate tabs as close together as possible. All of this is obviously because reasons.
  2. American Express Offers has new targeted offers for:

    – $50 back on $250+ at Grand Hyatt through April 15
    – $300 back on $2,000+ at Qatar through April 30
    – $150 back on $1,000+ at Emirates through April 30
    – $100 back on $500+ at Mandarin Oriental through May 6
    – $100 back on $400+ at SLS hotels through May 14
    – $200 back on $900+ at Four Seasons in the Americans and Europe through May 21
    – $40 back on $200+ at Ceasars though June 30

    Gamers gonna game.
  3. Meijer MPerks has a promotion for 50,000 bonus points with a $500 third party gift card purchase, limit 50,000 points per MPerks account. Obviously it’s impossible to have multiple MPerks accounts, right?

    In normal times there are plenty of brands that are well suited to this promotion, but in the current Pepper-pocolptic market, the workable brands are basically Apple and Lululemon.
  4. The Chase Marriott Bonvoy Boundless card has an increased sign-up bonus of three 50,000 point free night certificates after $3,000 spend in three months, and the $95 annual fee is not waived in the first year. The main utility in this card is that it has an upgrade path to the Chase Ritz-Carlton card after one year; it’s definitely not found in three 50,000 point certificates which will work at a lower end US airport hotel if you’re lucky.

    The same offer will probably be available through referrals by the end of the week too, so check referrals before applying.

Happy Tuesday!

Sample US Airport hotel currently priced at 50,000 Bonvoy points nightly.

  1. The Chase Freedom Unlimited card has an uncapped double cash for the first year back sign-up bonus. You may need to try different browsers, mobile devices, a VPN, or by making Chase jealous and applying for an American Express instead.

    There are golden plays where uncapped 3x Ultimate Rewards massively moves the needle.
  2. Etihad Guest has a tiered transfer bonus for incoming Capital One, Accor ALL, and Hyatt transfers through March 31:

    – 20% bonus: < 10,000 miles
    – 30% bonus: < 50,000 miles
    – 40% bonus: 50,000+ miles

    The bonus miles aren’t awarded instantly, and may take up to April 15 to arrive.
  3. The Office Depot / OfficeMax $15 off of $300+ Mastercard gift cards promotion mentioned on Friday turned out to be lies, and not the good kind (?). I guess there’s no need show up to a 9,000 square foot sparsely stocked, poorly-lit office supply store manned by exactly two 19 year olds, one of whom is on their lunch break, this week.

The Chase and American Express relationship.

We have a lot of strange updates to slingshot us into the weekend, just like yesterday’s SpaceX Starship was slingshotted (slungshot?, slingshat?) to orbit:

  1. The next installment of American Express versus the Floosies dropped. In the new chapter, Chapter IV: That Time Maurice Posed in Duck Face, American Express blocked most floosie merchants, preventing charges from going through. This was made especially easy because the floosie merchants all shared some common traits.

    My opinion: The floosies are lucky that it shook out this way and that it wasn’t worse. I bet they’ll strike back though.
  2. The AA, Alaska, Delta, Southwest, United, Airline shopping portals have limited earn on giftcards.com purchases to the first $20,000 per rolling 365 days. Emirates, JetBlue, and Virgin Atlantic have limited earn to the first $2,000 per month. The curious case of another portal remains a curious case though.

    My takeaway is that giftcards.com orders through an airline portal should only happen when the bonus is 2x+, or when there’s a cumulative spend shopping bonus.
  3. Recurring American Express statement credits for airline incidentals, $200 Dell credits, $10 telecommunications, $10 GrubHub, $50 Saks, and $20 flexible business credits stopped posting for charges after February 17. Resy 10x and 15x bonus points stopped around the same time too. Don’t stress, it’s not you, it’s them. They’ll get it fixed eventually, this happens roughly every year.

    Dunkin, Hilton, Clear, Walmart+, and Resy restaurant credits remain unaffected.
  4. Office Depot / OfficeMax stores have $15 off of $300 in Mastercard gift cards through Saturday. Buy in even multiples of $300 for a bigger overall discount. Also, finally, something normal!

    These are Pathward gift cards.

Have a nice weekend friends!

Yes the duck face is real, and no you won’t find it here.

  1. The AirFrance / KLM FlyingBlue Bank of America Mastercard has two new increased sign-up bonuses:

    – 70,000 FlyingBlue miles and 100 XP after $3,000 spend in three months
    – 60,000 FlyingBlue miles, a $100 statement credit, and 100 XP after $3,000 spend in three months, presented during checkout with a dummy flight booking

    This card is interesting for status chasers, especially because you can have multiple and the anniversary XP bonus stacks.
  2. Alaska has an award sale for fares booked by tonight, but generally only for travel starting in late march and ending in late May . I’m seeing:

    – 4,000 miles for short-haul and some flights to Mexico
    – 7,500 miles for west coast to Hawaii
    – 7,500 miles for transcontinental flights

    You can still transfer Membership Rewards to Alaska via Hawaiian, though hopefully (?) that dies soon.
  3. Southwest Wanna Get Away and Wanna Get Away Fare Plus fares earn fewer miles per dollar spent. Why mention it here? It slightly changes the calculus Chase Sapphire Reserve point bookings versus transferring to Rapid Rewards and booking with points through Southwest.
  4. The Southwest Rapid Rewards shopping portal has 1,000 bonus miles with $300 spend through March 17. Something something points calculus.
  5. Harris Teeter stores, the zombie stepchild of Kroger has 4x fuel points on all third party gift cards excluding Amazon through Tuesday.
  6. Reportedly the Capital One Travel portal has a promotion for 20x points on a hotel booking for those who haven’t booked a hotel through the portal before, with a maximum bonus of 50,000 points through April 15. (Thanks to FM)

Happy Thursday!

Kroger affiliates: Harris Teeter (left), the others (right).

If you search Perplexity for “What are American Airlines miles worth?”, you may get a range of numbers from 1.0 cents each to 2.5 cents each and a lot of hallucinated reasoning behind those numbers too. If you repeat the search, you’ll probably get a different result. Valuing miles is hard, even for AI. So, often we revert to one of the hobby’s normal methods:

  • A mile is worth the value of selling it on the grey market
  • A mileage redemption is worth the cash that you would have paid without the miles
  • A mileage redemption is worth the cash price that the ticket or property is listed for
  • A mile is worth 1.0 cents, because most programs let you redeem at that level
    A mile is worth your opportunity cost for acquiring it

Those are all fine and good, but sometimes you need a legally defensible valuation for a mile as part of a settlement, tax action, corporate valuation, or similar rigorous process, and the above answers typically won’t cut it because of logical holes big enough to fly an A380 through. Also, judges in particular hate it when you’ve got a hand-waivey answer with variability left up to the eye of the beholder. So, let’s reintroduce a mileage valuation that’s easily defensible:

  • A mile is worth what the program will sell it to you for

Right now, I can buy 10,000 AA miles for $338.63, so for the purposes of a legally defensible valuation for miles, AA miles are worth 3.3863 cents each.

Happy Wednesday!

Yes, there’s another common way to determine mileage value.