{"id":14279,"date":"2026-09-25T04:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-09-25T10:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/milesearnandburn.com\/?p=14279"},"modified":"2026-09-25T04:32:12","modified_gmt":"2026-09-25T10:32:12","slug":"fridays-art-of-risk-shutdown-risk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/milesearnandburn.com\/index.php\/2026\/09\/25\/fridays-art-of-risk-shutdown-risk\/","title":{"rendered":"Friday&#8217;s Art of Risk: Shutdown Risk"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Introduction<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We have <a href=\"https:\/\/milesearnandburn.com\/index.php\/2026\/08\/18\/tuesday-the-risk-kick-off\/\">a series on risk <\/a>that won&#8217;t write itself, so I guess that&#8217;s what I&#8217;m here for. Smart readers can guess today&#8217;s entrant (because it&#8217;s in the title): Shutdown risk. What&#8217;s that? Well, (a) duh, and (b) the risk that a bank, FinTech, credit card issuer, or other counterparty throws its virtual hands up in the air and says &#8220;that&#8217;s a nah from me son.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Shutdowns as a Spectrum<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Shutdowns come in many forms, much like your crazy ex&#8217;s promises. A few examples:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>The Gentle Backoff<\/strong>: When you say jail to a churner, the first thing they&#8217;ll think of isn&#8217;t metal bars and locks, but rather AmEx Pop-Up Jail, which prevents you from getting future sign-up bonuses.<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>The Not-so-gentle Backoff<\/strong>: Small to medium sized credit unions are great at this, generally something like &#8220;if you don&#8217;t stop refunding those travel redemptions the week after you book them, we&#8217;re going to close your account&#8221;.<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>The Cold, Calculated Axe<\/strong>: Banks famously don&#8217;t care about feelings, and the good ones have a risk algorithm or two that, when alarms, leads to immediate shutdown. The really good ones will send you a polite letter telling you to pound sand and kick rocks while you&#8217;re at it too.<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>The Random Wildcards<\/strong>: Gift card sites, obscure portal aggregators, and fly-by-night buying groups don&#8217;t have compliance departments, instead they have automated ban-hammers. Breathe on them sideways when the wrong <s>Toby<\/s> analyst is looking and your account is locked instantly, often taking your pending payouts, rewards, and maybe your money with it.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Some shutdowns obviously sting more than others.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Managing Shutdown Risk<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I know, I know, no one likes to be managed. So do the managing yourself:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Earn and Burn<\/strong>: Points sitting in an account aren&#8217;t assets, they&#8217;re unbacked IOUs<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Learn about an Institution&#8217;s Triggers<\/strong>: Some issuers that rhyme with schminkrony hate cycling for example, while other FinTechs hate when you taek them as nothing but a hub, while others hate it when you chase their deposit accounts; know the pitfalls so you can dodge &#8217;em<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Isolate Your Real Accounts<\/strong>: Is your mortgage payment coming out of the same account that you&#8217;re depositing buyer&#8217;s group checks into? Well, cut it out. Would P2 be eternally mad if you lost your Kohl&#8217;s card? Maybe be careful with Capital One<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Consider horizontal scaling<\/strong>: A dozen accounts for your friends and family each spending $50,000 a month is a lot less likely to ring alarms at a FinTech compared to spending $600,000 a month in a single account<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As a corollary, perhaps develop a thick skin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Coping<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Remember: If you haven&#8217;t been shutdown by an institution, you haven&#8217;t gone hard enough yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Happy Thursday friends!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"728\" height=\"852\" src=\"https:\/\/milesearnandburn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-11.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-14283\" style=\"width:420px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/milesearnandburn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-11.png 728w, https:\/\/milesearnandburn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-11-256x300.png 256w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 728px) 100vw, 728px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:14px\">Next time: Managing digestive risk.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction We have a series on risk that won&#8217;t write itself, so I guess that&#8217;s what I&#8217;m here for. Smart readers can guess today&#8217;s entrant<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_editorskit_title_hidden":false,"_editorskit_reading_time":0,"_editorskit_is_block_options_detached":false,"_editorskit_block_options_position":"{}","footnotes":""},"categories":[199,56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14279","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-risk","category-wisdom"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/milesearnandburn.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14279","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/milesearnandburn.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/milesearnandburn.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/milesearnandburn.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/milesearnandburn.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14279"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/milesearnandburn.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14279\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14339,"href":"https:\/\/milesearnandburn.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14279\/revisions\/14339"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/milesearnandburn.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14279"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/milesearnandburn.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14279"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/milesearnandburn.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14279"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}